2007 NFL Newsletter: Dave’s Dime Divisional Week

By , January 11, 2008

Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

So as I just get back from drinking away my 22nd birthday with good friends, I now have to actually put into writing my 4 picks this week, and I’ve got to tell you, none of them are easy. Well, maybe one (Indy), but to give this many points in so many games so late in the season seems a little crazy to me.

But alas, I’ve come a little to far to start complaining about spreads now. Lets see if I can keep last week’s success going into this week.

And, lets see if I’m actually sober enough to write coherent sentences.

Hthtjeg. Llikds yhra hdjkkthu…tjAahthhjhjplp.

THE RECORD

Last Week
With the spread: 3 – 1 – 0 (.750)
Without the spread: 2 – 2 – 0 (.500)
OVER/UNDER: 2 – 2 – 0 (.500)
^^Zen Picks^^: 1 – 0 – 0 (1.000)
**Outright Upsets**: 0 – 1 – 0 (.000)

Season (Final)
With the spread: 124 – 123 – 9 (.502)
Without the spread: 157 – 99 – 0 (.613)
^^Zen Picks^^: 14 – 7 – 2 (.667)
**Outright Upsets**: 20 – 42 – 0 (.323)

Playoffs
With the spread: 3 – 1 – 0 (.750)
Without the spread: 2 – 2 – 0 (.500)
OVER/UNDER: 2 – 2 – 0 (.500)
^^Zen Picks^^: 1 – 0 – 0 (1.000)
**Outright Upsets**: 0 – 1 – 0 (.000)

THE PICKS

* – Indicates Upset Pick
^ – Indicates Zen Pick

SATURDAY

#3 Seattle Seahawks 11 – 6 (+7.5) @ #2 Green Bay Packers 13 – 3 (-7.5)
While I like the Seahawks a lot on both sides of the ball, the sad truth (for Seahawks fans anyway) is that the Packers are just a bit better on both sides. Take into consideration that they also have had a week off and are playing at home, and there is just too much to like about Green Bay here to go the other way.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Green Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Green Bay
OVER/UNDER 43.5: OVER

#5 Jacksonville Jaguars 12 – 5 (+13.5) @ #1 New England Patriots 16 – 0 (-13.5)
Everyone seems to be leaning Jacksonville’s way with the spread, and not unjustly; they are an extremely physical team, they have earned tough wins, and they have a dynamic rushing duo. But as you know, I like to go against the grain. Yes, Jacksonville beat Pittsburgh twice on the road, but Pittsburgh is nowhere close to the talent level the Pats are. Despite the Jags defensive reputation, their secondary is quite ordinary. While the Jags may be the “cool” pick, the Patriots are the right pick.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^New England Patriots
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England Patriots
OVER/UNDER 50: OVER

SUNDAY

#3 San Diego Chargers 12 – 5 (+9.5) @ #2 Indianapolis Colts 13 – 3 (-9.5)
Easily the pick I like the most this week. On top of the revenge factor for Peyton’s worst game in his professional career, the Colts are just too damn good on defense this year; they will make Phillip Rivers’ life miserable, and Bob Sanders should be able to help limit LT. Add in Antonio Gates’ injury and home field advantage for the Colts, and you have a comfortable victory on your hands.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Indianapolis Colts
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis Colts
OVER/UNDER 45.5: UNDER

#5 New York Giants 11 – 6 (+7.5) @ #3 Dallas Cowboys 13 – 3 (-7.5)
For some reason, I can very vividly seeing the game play out like this; Romo, still thinking about last year and feeling a ton of pressure at home, tries way too hard early and makes mistakes, leading to an early Giants lead. Can they hold on to it when Romo settles down, though? I’m not brave enough to say yes, but I will be taking the touchdown and change with the Giants here, who lose the game late, if at all.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *New York Giants
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Dallas Cowboys
OVER/UNDER 46.5: UNDER

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