2007 NFL Newsletter: Dave’s Dime Super Bowl

By , February 1, 2008

Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

So here we are.

We could have had the Patriots’ undefeated streak on the line against Brett Favre for one last hoorah.

We could have had the streak on the line against the NFC’s best, the Dallas Cowboys.

Instead, we end up with the team that is being heralded as this year’s “Team of Destiny”, this year’s “’06 Steelers”. Do they really stand a chance today?

The answer is a lot more obvious than people seem to realize.

THE RECORD

Last Week
With the spread: 1 – 1 – 0 (.500)
Without the spread: 1 – 1 – 0 (.500)
OVER/UNDER: 1 – 1 – 0 (.500)
^^Zen Picks^^: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)
**Outright Upsets**: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)

Season (Final)
With the spread: 124 – 123 – 9 (.502)
Without the spread: 157 – 99 – 0 (.613)
^^Zen Picks^^: 14 – 7 – 2 (.667)
**Outright Upsets**: 20 – 42 – 0 (.323)

Playoffs
With the spread: 6 – 4 – 0 (.600)
Without the spread: 5 – 5 – 0 (.500)
OVER/UNDER: 6 – 4 – 0 (.600)
^^Zen Picks^^: 1 – 1 – 0 (.500)
**Outright Upsets**: 0 – 1 – 0 (.000)

THE PICKS

* – Indicates Upset Pick
^ – Indicates Zen Pick

#5 New York Giants 13 – 6 (+12.0) @ #1 New England Patriots 18 – 0 (-12.0)

I hate to be the one to break it to you, but everyone is overanalyzing this game WAY too much. A couple of things I’d like to point out…

“The Giants are the team of destiny! They have pulled off 3 great wins in a row to get here.”

– Fascinating. Have we forgotten that the Patriots have won SEVENTEEN straight??

“The Giants came close to beating the Patriots in the last game of the season”

– True, but did they? No. A few things to consider; that game was in New York. ALL of the pressure was on the Patriots. On top of stressing about keeping the undefeated season, many of them likely assumed that they would only need to play one half. They had to readjust mid-game to get pumped and win. Think they will have trouble getting pumped for the Super Bowl? Unlikely.

– Has everyone forgotten about a little thing called experience? Most of the Patriots; especially their quarterback; have been to this game now 4 of the last 7 years. They know exactly what to expect, exactly how to handle the media, and everything else that goes with the big game. Think that won’t count for something?

And MOST importantly…

– HAVE WE ALL FORGOTTEN HOW MUCH ELI MANNING SUCKS?

I really don’t get it. If you remember last year, all we heard about before the game, other than the Bear’s stout defense, was how the QB battle was a complete mismatch, and throughout history the team with the much better QB has always come out on top. All we heard about was how much Rex Grossman completely sucked, and how great Peyton Manning was.

The Peyton to Brady comparison isn’t one that I need to make; we all know that they are the best two QBs in the league hands down.

But why aren’t people making the Eli to Rex comparison? (Maybe they are, but I haven’t seen it). I dug up Rex’s 2007 stats and it is pretty chilling.

Touchdowns
2007 Eli: 23
2006 Rex: 23

Interceptions
2007 Eli: 20
2006 Rex: 20

QB Rating
2007 Eli: 73.9
2006 Rex: 73.9

Completion %
2007 Eli: 56.1
2006 Rex: 54.1

Passing Yards
2007 Eli: 3336
2006 Rex: 3193

Passing Yards Per Attempt
2006 Rex: 6.65
2007 Eli: 6.31

Don’t get me wrong; Eli has played well the postseason. But he is not a good QB at all, and he will absolutely let his true colors show in the big game, just like Rex did.

It may seem like I’ve just hopped on the Patriots bandwagon with all of my pro Patriots talk. I’ll admit it, I think it is really cool that we are seeing an undefeated team in the making in our era. But trust me, I won’t be heartbroken if they lose; I’d welcome it with open arms. But there is just one simple fact here; they aren’t going to lose. They are going to roll over the Giants, and all of these “It’s going to be a good game” people are going to be awfully embarrassed.

PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New England
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England
OVER/UNDER 55: UNDER

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