Welcome To Dave’s Dime!

comments Comments Off
By , August 29, 2012 12:00 pm

Hello and welcome to DavesDime.com!

This website serves as a portfolio of all of my work.

To learn more about my personal and professional background, check out the “About Me” section above. To see my current and past work in writing, podcasting and videos, follow the appropriate tabs above. Or you can browse by sport with the menu on the left-hand side.

Also on the left-hand side is all of my social media and contact information. Whether you are an employer looking for an experienced content provider or a fan of my work that just wants to drop me a line, feel free to do so via any of those links!

Thank you for stopping by!

- Dave

#OffStripVegas

By , December 4, 2013 5:26 pm

Day 1

Continue reading “#OffStripVegas” »

2013 NFL Newsletter: Dave’s Dime Week 2

By , September 12, 2013 12:00 pm

Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

See the difference?

I unveiled my new system this year which brilliantly differentiates the confidence that I have in each pick.

With my incredible cognitive capacity, I know which picks are true winners, and which ones I’m merely forced to make for the sake of the Dime. And this year, I figured out a way to let you in on my true brilliance, separating these picks with simple little signs ($, /, and ?) so that even if you aren’t on the same wavelength as my super-human football brain is, you could still follow along.

The results were staggering.

PICKS: 3-3-1

LEANS 4-4-0

SEE THE DIFFERENCE?

While the leans went .500, the picks went SUPER .500; that’s .500 with a tie! That’s how good I am at this! Amazing, right?!?

I still can’t believe I send this thing out for free. Kings and Princes in nations around the world would pay vast fortunes for my brilliantly accurate coin-flipping ability. I mean sure, they could just flip a coin instead, but where is the fun in that? That doesn’t take hours and hours of pointless research, game-watching, article-reading, stat-crunching, etc.

All kidding aside, I’m thrilled to go about .500 last week. The NFL didn’t take long to remind us that all of our preseason banter and predicting is good for nothing, did it?

THE RECORD

Last Week
Spread “Picks”: 3 – 3 – 1 (.500)
Spread “Leans”: 4 – 4 – 0 (.500)
Spread “Coin Flips”: 0 – 1 – 0 (.000)
With the spread: 7 – 8 – 1 (.467)
Without the spread: 9 – 7 – 0 (.563)

Season
Spread “Picks”: 3 – 3 – 1 (.500)
Spread “Leans”: 4 – 4 – 0 (.500)
Spread “Coin Flips”: 0 – 1 – 0 (.000)
With the spread: 7 – 8 – 1 (.467)
Without the spread: 9 – 7 – 0 (.563)

QUICK RECAP OF LAST WEEK

THE GOOD

(/) Baltimore (+7.5) @ Denver (-7.5)
(/) Miami (+1.0) @ Cleveland (-1.0)
(/) Atlanta (+3.0) @ New Orleans (-3.0)
(/) Tennessee (+7.0) @ Pittsburgh (-7.0)
($) Seattle (-3.5) @ Carolina (+3.5)
($) Kansas City (-4.0) @ Jacksonville (+4.0)
($) Arizona (+4.5) @ St. Louis (-4.5)
($) Cincinnati (+3.0) @ Chicago (-3.0) TIE

THE BAD

(/) New England (-9.5) @ Buffalo (+9.5)
($) Tampa Bay (-3.5) @ NY Jets (+3.5)
(?) Minnesota (+5.5) @ Detroit (-5.5)
($) Oakland (+10.0) @ Indianapolis (-10.0)
(/) Green Bay (+4.5) @ San Francisco (-4.5)
($) NY Giants (+3.5) @ Dallas (-3.5)
(/) Philadelphia (+3.5) @ Washington (-3.5)
(/) Houston (-3.5) @ San Diego (+3.5)

THE PICKS

($) – Indicates a “Pick”, which is a side that I feel strongly about
(/) – Indicates a “Lean”, which is the side that I’m leaning towards
(?) – Indicates a “Coin Flip”, where I don’t have much of an opinion
* – Indicates Outright Upset Pick

THURSDAY

($) NY Jets (+11.0) @ New England (+11.0)
I must be out of my mind, actually upgrading this game to a “pick”, especially when the Patriots are far and away my biggest “trouble team” to pick over the last few years. But while I’m not really sold on the Jets being more than a bottom feeder, the defense did look great in last week’s win over Tampa Bay. And New England’s offense looks suspect; and now it could be even worse with Amendola ruled out with a groin injury. There just aren’t any weapons here. I’m sure Brady will make it work, but should this team as it currently looks on paper be a double-digit favorite over anyone? Factor in the fact that the Jets have extra motivation to avoid national humiliation after the last time these two teams played (butt fumble, anyone?) and I sincerely believe the Jets make a game of it.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: NY Jets
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England

SUNDAY

($) St. Louis (+6.5) @ Atlanta (-6.5)
This one I was right on the fence about at first, but with St. Louis coming off of an emotional come-from-behind win at home against a division rival and Atlanta coming off of a last-minute-goal-line-stand loss on the road against a division rival, the “philosopy”/emotion side of this game leans pretty heavily towards Atlanta. Factor in also that the Falcons have one of the best home field advantages in the NFL and the Rams have struggled on the road in recent years, and all signs seem to point to a Falcons win and cover.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Atlanta
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Atlanta

($) Carolina (-2.5) @ Buffalo (+2.5)
Carolina played incredibly on defense last week, and was understandably shut down by one of the league’s best defenses against the Seahawks. Going up against a much softer defense this week in Buffalo, I think Cam Newton will have a big day and lead the Panthers to their first win of the season.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Carolina
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Carolina

(/) Minnesota (+6.0) @ Chicago (-6.0)
Minnesota is going to have a down year this year, and the more I pay attention to Chicago the more I hate the fact that I bet on them to finish with under 8.5 wins on the season. Sure, we could get our standard Jay Cutler second-half meltdown, but the Bears still have an excellent defense and can do enough on offense to win footbal games.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Chicago
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Chicago

(/) Washington (+7.5) @ Green Bay (-7.5)
So one bad half and all of a sudden everyone is over Robert Griffin III? Were you watching the second half? I know that he’s not 100%, and he’s obviously not going to be as mobile as he was last year. But Green Bay’s defense had problems last year, and if Week 1 was any indication those problems haven’t been corrected. This game looks to me to have the makings of a shootout, and I’ll take the side with the extra touchdown on the pointspread.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Washington
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Green Bay

(/) Miami (+2.5) @ Indianapolis (-2.5)
If Week 1 was an accurate portrayal of both of these teams, Miami will win this game. The Dolphins looked great on defense, and the Colts looked pedestrian at home against what should be a very bad Raiders team this year. With that said, a hot mobile quarterback can make anyone look bad, and Miami’s defense gets a slightly tougher test in Andrew Luck compared to Brandon Weeden. Very interesting game and test for both teams here.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Miami
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Miami

(?) Dallas (+3.0) @ Kansas City (-3.0)
This is the one game on the board that I can’t wrap my head around. I still don’t know what to think about the Cowboys after that bizarre Sunday night game. And while I’m high on the Chiefs this year, a blowout win against Jacksonville doesn’t really tell us anything. Forced to make a pick, I like Dallas slightly better on paper, but this is one that I haven’t got a clue on.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Dallas
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Dallas

($) Cleveland (+6.0) @ Baltimore (-6.0)
Easily my favorite pick of the week. The defending Super Bowl Champions, who should have been playing at home but weren’t due to a Baltimore Orioles home game, were forced to go on the road last week; where they got completely manhandled and embarrassed in front of millions nationwide. This week they return home, lift the Super Bowl banner, and get to take out their aggression on a team that they have won 10 straight games against (with a 7-3 against the spread record). Does it shape up any better than this?
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Baltimore
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Baltimore

(/) Tennessee (+9.5) @ Houston (-9.5)
Not quite willing to lay this many points on a “$” pick as I don’t know how much Houston has left in the tank after that incredible comeback in the second half on Monday night. But make no mistake about it, the Titans’ upset over the Steelers was more of an indication of how bad Pittsburgh is than how good Tennessee is. This is a game that the Texans should be able to handle very easily.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Houston
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Houston

(/) San Diego (+7.5) @ Philadelphia (-7.5)
Lost in all of the hoopla about Philadelphia’s amazing new offense (and it is amazing!) is the fact that this team is still susceptable on defense, as the second half revealed. In fact, if Washington hadn’t have shot itself in the foot so many times in the first half, the Redskins probably would have won the game. I think the Eagles will win this one, but like the Chargers’ offense to keep this one close.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Diego
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Philadelphia

(/) Detroit (-1.5) @ Arizona (+1.5)
I still love Arizona’s defense and the offense looked good last week… but what is to stop Detroit’s outstanding passing attack from doing what St. Louis’s eventually did, wearing out the Cardinals and coming away with a victory? Maybe home field advantage? Maybe Detroit remembers how to choke? Not sure, but I’m going with the Cards.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Arizona
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Arizona

(/) New Orleans (-3.0) @ Tampa Bay (+3.0)
Tampa Bay has given New Orleans trouble in recent years, and this just “feels” like one of those likely spots for it to crop up, one week after New Orleans returned to NFL prominance with an impressive win over Atlanta. The Saints left it all on the field in that emotional win while the Bucs were a laughing stock after coughing one up to the lowly Jets last week… I’m going with my gut and saying that the Bucs pull off an upset here.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Tampa Bay

($) Jacksonville (+5.5) @ Oakland (-5.5)
I dreamed of a day that I’d be thrilled to be taking the Raiders as a favorite. Sadly, that day isn’t here because the Raiders have returned to splendor, but instead because they happen to be playing a team that is even more pathetic than they are. Jacksonville is dreadful on both sides of the ball. Oakland, meanwhile, actually looked good on both sides of the ball this week, and clearly have life on offense with Terrelle Pryor at quarterback. Oakland….. rolls to an easy win?
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Oakland
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Oakland

($) Denver (-4.5) @ NY Giants (+4.5)
Did you see the game last Thursday night? Great, so I don’t need to continue then. Denver has picked up right where it left off last season, and amazingly enough might be even better on offense this year. New York will bounce back from last week’s ugly performance against the Cowboys eventually, but I don’t think it’ll be this week.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Denver
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Denver

(/) San Francisco (+3.0) @ Seattle (-3.0)
What a game this is going to be. Great coaching dual, great quarterback dual, great running back dual, great smash-mouth defense dual. This one is shaping up to be one of the NFL’s most anticipated rivalries over the next few years. Oh, I have to make a pick instead of just marveling? Damn. I could so easily go either way on this one, but when in doubt, never ever pick against the Seattle Seahawks at home.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Seattle
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Seattle

MONDAY

(/) Pittsburgh (+6.5) @ Cincinnati (-6.5)
I am very high on the Bengals this year and very low on the Steelers, especially after last week’s disasterous display. But that embarrassing game could serve as motivation for the Steelers, as will not falling to a near-fatal 0-2 record on the season. Plus, I still respect the heck out of the Steeler defense, so I don’t love giving this team a lot of points. So in the end, I’m going with Cinci, but wussing out on the “$” for these reasons.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Cincinnati
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Cincinnati

THE COLLEGE NICKEL

RECORD: 6 – 6 – 0 (.500)

Week 3 Video Here: http://www.davesdime.com/2013-college-football-picks-week-3

Texas Tech +3
Oklahoma -24
Virginia Tech -7.5
Louisville -13.5
Oregon -27.5
Alabama -7.5
Ole Miss +2.5
UCLA/Nebraska OVER 70
Boston College/USC UNDER 43

Good luck! Thanks for reading!

———————
Questions? Comments? Love the Dime? Hate it? Should I cut it down to a nickel? EMAIL ME FEEDBACK!

2013 College Football Picks Week 3

By , September 11, 2013 1:09 pm

Texas Tech +3

Oklahoma -24

Virginia Tech -7.5

Louisville -13.5

Oregon -27.5

Alabama -7.5

Ole Miss +2.5

UCLA/Nebraska OVER 70

Boston College/USC UNDER 43

2013 NFL Newsletter: Dave’s Dime Week 1

By , September 5, 2013 12:00 pm

Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

Delete it. Report it. Mark it as spam. Do what you have to do.

Because it’s back.

Eight months ago I set out on a journey to re-invent myself. To leave the cold dark world of sports media behind me, leaving the state of the Dime in question. Would it return? Could life go on without it? Do only three or four people care?

For better or worse, the answer to all three of those questions… is yes.

As for my re-invention, well… it is being put on hold. The Dime is back. The college football videos are back. And in fact, I might even be starting a new sports show on YouTube this season too.

Sometimes in searching for new passions, you remember why you were passionate about something in the first place.

I love sports journalism, and I love mildly entertaining the handful of you that skim this thing before deleting it.

Making a slight change to the format of the picks, but don’t worry; they’ll still be just as bad as always.

Just like my Raiders.

Here we go!

THE RECORD

Last Week
Spread “Picks”: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)
Spread “Leans”: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)
Spread “Coin Flips”: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)
Without the spread: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)

Season
Spread “Picks”: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)
Spread “Leans”: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)
Spread “Coin Flips”: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)
Without the spread: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)

Last Season
With the spread: 123 – 126 – 7 (.494)
Without the spread: 162 – 93 – 1 (.640)

QUICK RECAP OF LAST WEEK

(Here I break down my correct and incorrect picks from the previous week)

THE PICKS

($) – Indicates a “Pick”, which is a side that I feel strongly about
(/) – Indicates a “Lean”, which is the side that I’m leaning towards
(?) – Indicates a “Coin Flip”, where I don’t have much of an opinion
* – Indicates Outright Upset Pick

THURSDAY

(/) Baltimore (+7.5) @ Denver (-7.5)
The revenge angle here is extremely obvious, with last year’s postseason loss in this building still fresh on the Denver Broncos’ minds. But the even bigger factor in liking the Broncos here is the total overhaul of Baltimore’s defense this offseason, including key losses such as Ray Lewis and Ed Reed. This unit is still talented and will gel over time, but it isn’t likely to be in Week 1 against Peyton Manning. I’m concerned about the 7.5 points as Von Miller’s absence in the Denver defense could lead to a shoot-out type game, but I like Manning to have a big day and the Broncos to come out on top.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Denver
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Denver

SUNDAY

(/) New England (-9.5) @ Buffalo (+9.5)
New England has completely owned Buffalo over the last 10 years with an 18-1 record against the Bills including an 8-1 straight up and 7-1-1 against the spread record against the Bills in Buffalo over that stretch. The Patriots have to be the pick here, but with so many new faces on offense for New England and the potential for a pretty solid offensive output in Buffalo with EJ Manual under center, the Bills could find a way to cover here. After all, I NEVER get a New England pick right.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New England
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England

($) Cincinnati (+3.0) @ Chicago (-3.0)
I like the Bengals a lot this year. The offense was already good and got even better through a great draft, and the defense has been very strong for a couple of years now. Chicago’s defense will still be great even with Brian Urlacher no longer roaming the center of the field, making this one look on paper like a defensive struggle. That makes the three points that much more valuable, and it also makes me love taking the team with the better offense to edge out a victory.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Cincinnati
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Cincinnati

(/) Miami (+1.0) @ Cleveland (-1.0)
This is a “show me” game for both teams. Both took strides forward in a rebuilding year last year, and both enter the season with high hopes; Cleveland through internal improvement and Miami through some big spending this offseason. This should be a great game, but I’m a bit more sold on Miami’s roster; and until Cleveland shows that it has learned to win, I’ll be picking against them in these close-to-call spots.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Miami
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Miami

(/) Atlanta (+3.0) @ New Orleans (-3.0)
With two of the best passing attacks in the NFL and a couple of questionable defenses, this one should be a blast to watch. I think Atlanta is the better team as I like the Falcons’ defense better and the addition of Steven Jackson should help them run the ball and protect leads better than they did last year. But in New Orleans, in Sean Payton’s return to the sideline, on opening week… I just think New Orleans is going to be too revved up and come out firing on all cylinders.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New Orleans
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New Orleans

($) Tampa Bay (-3.5) @ NY Jets (+3.5)
This one seems like a gift. The Jets are starting a project rookie quarterback in Geno Smith who is surrounded by arguably the worst supporting cast on offense in the entire NFL. Tampa Bay has a great offense and their defense should be a lot better than it was last year; and even if it isn’t, will it matter against the Jets? Picking on the Jets seems unfair as they are such an easy target, but I’m firmly on the wagon.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay

(/) Tennessee (+7.0) @ Pittsburgh (-7.0)
Pittsburgh will probably end up being fine, but the Steelers had an uncharacteristically bad preseason and the running game (which was dreadful last year) has not been solved. Sure, it is just the preseason; but under a coach who plays to win in the preseason, it was concerning. Tennessee is bad, but there are enough pieces in place on offense here to scrape out a few scores… and that might be enough to cover the spread.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tennessee
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Pittsburgh

(?) Minnesota (+5.5) @ Detroit (-5.5)
Absolutely no idea what to expect from either of these teams this season. I am guessing that Minnesota trends down from last year and Detroit trends up, but does that make the Vikings a 5.5-point underdog this week? No idea. I guess I’ll take the points and pray.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Minnesota
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Detroit

($) Oakland (+10.0) @ Indianapolis (-10.0)
Maybe the easiest pick on the board. For all of the fuss about Terrelle Pryor taking over as starter (which I am excited about, too), he is a work in progress that will struggle in a hostile road environment. But more importantly, the Raiders have the personnel to put up some historically bad numbers on defense this year, and Andrew Luck is a surgeon given time and space. Even if Pryor has a great day, it isn’t going to matter after Luck is done carving up this defense.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Indianapolis
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis

($) Seattle (-3.5) @ Carolina (+3.5)
Will this be the year that Cam Newton and the Panthers finally figure things out and make a run at a playoff spot? Maybe, maybe not. But going up against one of the league’s best defenses that has a clear history of success at stopping mobile quarterbacks, this is a terrible matchup for the Panthers. Newton is the entire focus of the offense, which should make it easy for Seattle to hone in on him. And on offense, the Seahawks have a wide array of weapons that can get the job done. The road struggles of the past shouldn’t haunt Seattle anymore, and the Seahawks should pick up where they left off last regular season with a win Sunday.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Seattle
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Seattle

($) Kansas City (-4.0) @ Jacksonville (+4.0)
I’m not quite sure what to expect from the Kansas City Chiefs this season, but I do know what to expect from the Jaguars, and that is a lot of bad football. And I actually lean towards a solid season for Kansas City as Andy Reid and Alex Smith should be great for the offense. I liked this spread a lot better earlier in the week when it was Kansas City -2.0, but even as is, the Chiefs should coast to a pretty easy victory by at least a touchdown.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Kansas City
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Kansas City

($) Arizona (+4.5) @ St. Louis (-4.5)
If not for one of the most brutal schedules in the NFL, the Arizona Cardinals would be a sleeper pick of mine to make the playoffs. They upgraded the offense big time with Carson Palmer and Rashard Mendenhall, brought in a great new head coach, and already had a strong defense in place. The Cardinals always tend to play the Rams well, and with Steven Jackson gone I think St. Louis will be somewhat one-dimensional as a passing team, giving Arizona’s defense the chance to cheat pass and shine. I could be way off, but I think Arizona wins this one outright.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Arizona
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Arizona

(/) Green Bay (+4.5) @ San Francisco (-4.5)
Green Bay’s defense was once known as one of the league’s best, but Colin Kaepernick tore it to shreds last postseason with a historic performance both passing and throwing the football. Not only will the Packers be looking for revenge overall, but the defense in particular should be thrilled to get another crack at Kaepernick. I like the 49ers better on paper and at home they are tough to pick against, but as strong of a motivator as revenge is, I think the Packers might find a way.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Green Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Green Bay

($) NY Giants (+3.5) @ Dallas (-3.5)
I usually don’t bother with past trends as teams change so much from year to year, but you can’t ignore the fact that the Giants are a perfect 4-0 at Cowboys Stadium. New York had an uncharacteristically awful year on defense in 2012, and I think they are going to bounce back with a solid year this year. As for Dallas, I never know what to expect from this team. All I do know is that 3.5 points is way too generous to pass up on with how well the Giants play against the Cowboys.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: NY Giants
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *NY Giants

MONDAY

(/) Philadelphia (+3.5) @ Washington (-3.5)
I can’t wait to see what Chip Kelly has in store for the NFL. But unfortunately for him, he inherits a pretty brutal defense, and with Robert Griffin III back in action, that spells trouble. Not sure if this one will be a shootout or a one-sided affair, but expect RGIII to remind everyone what they were missing out on while he was injured.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Washington
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Washington

(/) Houston (-3.5) @ San Diego (+3.5)
San Diego tends to play well at home early in the year, making this a bit of a tricky spot for Houston, especially with Arian Foster at less than 100%. But the Texans are a legitimate Super Bowl contender and have so much talent on both sides of the ball that they should be able to handle the Chargers, who will likely have a learning curve under their new head coach.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Houston
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Houston

THE COLLEGE NICKEL

RECORD: 4 – 1 – 0 (.800)

Week 2 Video Here: http://www.davesdime.com/2013-college-football-picks-week-2

Florida -3.0
North Carolina -17.0
SDSU +28.0
Oregon -22.0
South Carolina +3.5
Tulsa -10.0
Oregon State -27.0

Good luck! Thanks for reading!

———————
Questions? Comments? Love the Dime? Hate it? Should I cut it down to a nickel? EMAIL ME FEEDBACK!

2013 College Football Picks Week 2

By , September 5, 2013 11:52 am

Florida -3.0

North Carolina -17.0

SDSU +28.0

Oregon -22.0

South Carolina +3.5

Tulsa -10.0

Oregon State -27.0

2013 College Football Picks Week 1

By , August 28, 2013 12:12 pm

Tulsa/Bowling Green Over 48.0

Ole Miss -3.0

Alabama -19.5

Washington -3.5

Florida State -10.0

2012 NFL Newsletter: Dave’s Dime Super Bowl

By , February 1, 2013 7:00 pm

Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

So this is it!

The Super Bowl has finally arrived. One more game, and then a super long off-season until the Raiders return to win somewhere in the neighborhood of 3-5 games. Joy.

I will miss you guys and girls.

Please feel free to keep in touch this offseason! I will be updating my “Dave Reinvention Project 2013″ at the beginning of every month (new installment coming shortly!) and will continue rooting on my Kings and making stupid little observations on my Twitter and Facebook pages. You can hit me up there or with an email any time you want to talk sports, life, or anything in between!

Thanks for all of the support year in and year out. Will be making a few modifications to the Dime next year, but it shall return! Like a cockroach, you just can’t kill the damn thing.

Enjoy the big game and all of the drinks, food, and friends that come with it. See you next year!

THE RECORD

Last Week
With the spread: 1 – 0 – 1 (1.000)
Without the spread: 0 – 2 – 0 (.000)
Over/Under: 1 – 1 – 0 (.500)
$Money Picks$: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)

Playoffs
With the spread: 7 – 2 – 1 (.778)
Without the spread: 5 – 5 – 0 (.500)
Over/Under: 6 – 4 – 0 (.600)
$Money Picks$: 1 – 0 – 0 (1.000)

Regular Season (Final)
With the spread: 123 – 126 – 7 (.494)
Without the spread: 162 – 93 – 1 (.640)
^Philosophy Picks^: 12 – 21 – 0 (.363)
$Money Picks$: 34 – 33 – 2 (.507)

QUICK RECAP OF LAST WEEK

THE GOOD

#2 San Francisco (-4.0) @ #1 Atlanta (+4.0) OVER 48.5
#4 Baltimore (+8.0) @ #2 New England (-8.0)
#2 San Francisco (-4.0) @ #1 Atlanta (+4.0) TIE

THE BAD

#4 Baltimore (+8.0) @ #2 New England (-8.0) OVER 51.5

THE PICKS

* – Indicates Upset Pick
^ – Indicates Philosophy Pick
$ – Indicates Money Pick

SUNDAY

#2 San Francisco (-4.0) vs. #4 Baltimore (+4.0)
I have written a whole lot of articles on this game over the last two weeks, breaking down just about every angle and going over all of the regular season and postseason statistics that I could get my hands on; and the more I study it, the less of a clue I have of who I think is going to win.

It marks the first time in a long time that I don’t really have a clear rooting interest, and that I’m actually interested in just watching the game because I think it is going to be a great football game, not because I care one way or the other who wins. Considering the team that I have rooted for in 15 of the last 17 Super Bowls has lost (the “Consolazio Curse”), usually going against the team I’m rooting for is as safe as it gets. But this year, while I actually want the 49ers to win (slightly), I’ll be rooting for Baltimore to see if the “curse” works in reverse. Confused? Me too.

Anyway, on the point of the actual game, you have two offenses that are clicking on all cylinders. You have one defense (Baltimore’s) that struggled during the regular season, but has been excellent in the playoffs, yet hasn’t faced an elite running back or mobile quarterback yet like it will against San Francisco. Then you have a defense that was excellent during the regular season but has struggled in its last three games against elite passing attacks (allowing 396 passing yards to Atlanta, 31 points to Green Bay and 34 points to New England, albeit all in wins) which Baltimore certainly has at this point. On top of all of that, you have two brilliant head coaches that have had an extra week to prepare for this game.

This feels very much to me like the kind of matchup that would go six or seven games in a best-of-7 series. I wouldn’t be surprised with a super close game or a blowout from either side. Forced to make a decision, I lean ever so slightly towards Baltimore. You get the feeling that the 49ers are on the rise and that they will be playing in plenty of NFC Championship Games over the next few years. Baltimore isn’t going to fall off the map, but many of the key members of this team (including obviously Ray Lewis) may be getting their last chance at a title right here. Obviously nobody “wants it more” as everybody wants it, but that last-chance mentality in the Ravens locker room could give them the tiniest edge. But in the end, I think it is just going to come down to a few bounces and execution. It should be a heck of a game.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Baltimore
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Baltimore
OVER/UNDER 47.0: Over (31-28 Baltimore)

THE COLLEGE NICKEL

FINAL RECORD: 40 – 37 – 1 (.519)

Good luck! Thanks for reading!

———————
Questions? Comments? Love the Dime? Hate it? Should I cut it down to a nickel? EMAIL ME FEEDBACK!

Super Bowl – NFL: Beyond the Numbers Season Two

By , January 29, 2013 12:00 pm

The Super Bowl episode of Season 2 of Dave Consolazio and Kevin Taylor’s NFL football podcast, NFL: Beyond the Numbers. In this episode we discuss the our picks for the Super Bowl.

Visit KT’s webpage over at http://www.sportsinvasion.net

2012 NFL Newsletter: Dave’s Dime Conference Championship Week

By , January 19, 2013 7:00 pm

Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

With three games to go in the playoffs, I’ve already locked up a winning record ATS. Way to go me!

In just about 12 hours from when I’m writing this, the Los Angeles Kings will raise their Stanley Cup Banner to the ceiling of Staples Center and the 2013 NHL season will get underway.

24 hours later, the Championship round of the NFL playoffs will be kicking off in Atlanta.

Fun little weekend for sports. Hopefully capped off with another poker tourney win for me in the Commerce Casino Facebook Tourney Sunday night!

In any case, hope you all have a great weekend and enjoy the football. We’re only three games away from a loooooong offseason, so soak them in!

THE RECORD

Last Week
With the spread: 3 – 1 – 0 (.750)
Without the spread: 2 – 2 – 0 (.500)
Over/Under: 2 – 2 – 0 (.500)
$Money Picks$: 1 – 0 – 0 (1.000)

Playoffs
With the spread: 6 – 2 – 0 (.750)
Without the spread: 5 – 3 – 0 (.625)
Over/Under: 5 – 3 – 0 (.625)
$Money Picks$: 1 – 0 – 0 (1.000)

Regular Season (Final)
With the spread: 123 – 126 – 7 (.494)
Without the spread: 162 – 93 – 1 (.640)
^Philosophy Picks^: 12 – 21 – 0 (.363)
$Money Picks$: 34 – 33 – 2 (.507)

QUICK RECAP OF LAST WEEK

THE GOOD

#4 Baltimore (+9.5) @ #1 Denver (-9.5) OVER 46
#3 Green Bay (+2.5) @ #2 San Francisco (-2.5)
#5 Seattle (+2.5) @ #1 Atlanta (-2.5)
#3 Houston (+9.5) @ #2 New England (-9.5)
#3 Houston (+9.5) @ #2 New England (-9.5) OVER 47.5

THE BAD

#4 Baltimore (+9.5) @ #1 Denver (-9.5)
#3 Green Bay (+2.5) @ #2 San Francisco (-2.5) UNDER 45
#5 Seattle (+2.5) @ #1 Atlanta (-2.5) UNDER 46

THE PICKS

* – Indicates Upset Pick
^ – Indicates Philosophy Pick
$ – Indicates Money Pick

SUNDAY

#2 San Francisco (-4.0) @ #1 Atlanta (+4.0)
My head says San Francisco here, and after Colin Kaepernick’s performance against Green Bay last week, who’s wouldn’t? I also feel that the 49ers are the better team. But you know what? I’m going with the Falcons. Last week I was sure that the Seahawks were going to beat them, and for three quarters the Falcons dominated that game. And they did so in ways I’d never have expected, with a powerful and effective running game and a great job on defense of stuffing the run, two things they didn’t show all year. This week, they face a San Francisco team that is built almost exactly the same as Seattle is; young up-and-coming star at quarterback, elite veteran running back, top-notch defense. So what’s to say the game will play out so much differently? Considering I think San Francisco is the better team and that Harbaugh is the better coach, I don’t love that I’m picking against the 49ers here… but the defense has shown vulnerability against elite passing attacks (30+ points allowed against Green Bay and New England), and my gut tells me Matt Ryan has a big day at home and leads his Falcons to an upset to gain some of the respect this team continues to lack.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Atlanta
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Atlanta
OVER/UNDER 48.5: Over (34-31 Atlanta)

#4 Baltimore (+8.0) @ #2 New England (-8.0)
I’m not sure how anyone can be thinking about giving Baltimore eight points in this game. I’m not saying that the Patriots aren’t capible of winning this game by double-digits; with this offense, of course they are. But in the last six meetings between these teams, only one game has been decided by more than six points, and that was when Baltimore stomped New England 33-14 in the playoffs back in 2010. Furthermore, Baltimore has allowed more than 27 points to New England only once in their last eight games; and that was when the Ravens beat the Pats 31-30 earlier this season. Now granted, past trends and results should always be taken with a grain of salt, but let’s also factor in how high of a level Baltimore is playing at in the playoffs since Ray Lewis returned. After crushing the Colts, Baltimore ended Denver’s 11-game winning streak with an improbable upset win last week. And while the 35 points against look bad, remember that 21 of them came on special teams. Baltimore outplayed New England last year in the AFC Championship but came up just short, something the Ravens aren’t likely to have forgotten. I kind of feel like an upset might be coming, but I’m not quite ballsy enough to pick against Brady and Belichick at home in this spot. I will gladly take the points, though.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Baltimore
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England
OVER/UNDER 51: Over (28-27 New England)

THE COLLEGE NICKEL

FINAL RECORD: 40 – 37 – 1 (.519)

Good luck! Thanks for reading!

———————
Questions? Comments? Love the Dime? Hate it? Should I cut it down to a nickel? EMAIL ME FEEDBACK!

Conference Championship Week – NFL: Beyond the Numbers Season Two

By , January 17, 2013 12:00 pm

The Conference Championship Week episode of Season 2 of Dave Consolazio and Kevin Taylor’s NFL football podcast, NFL: Beyond the Numbers. In this episode we discuss the our picks for Conference Championship Week.

Visit KT’s webpage over at http://www.sportsinvasion.net

Panorama Theme by Stress Free Web Solutions