Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

I’m not going to lie to you.

I just sat down on my computer at about 2:45 AM after working until 10 o’clock, getting home at 11, and watching Ocean’s 13. It was at this point that I saw a link to “NFL Preview” and saw the word TODAY’S games. This confused me quite a bit.

Alas, I had absolutely no idea it was Saturday night. I had no idea there was football just a short 7 hours away. Such is the problem with working 2pm – 10pm and having TiVo… you never actually know what day it is because you watch your shows whenever it is convenient.

My two days off, Thursday and Friday, have now become Saturday and Sunday in my brain. Monday was today…

I guess I forgot that the end of college football didn’t mean the end of football, period. Whoops.

So here goes nothing; as tired as I am I will try to muscle out a few picks this week, and attempt to keep my improbable return to .500 alive.

THE RECORD

Last Week
With the spread: 10 – 6 – 0 (.625)
Without the spread: 9 – 7 – 0 (.563)
^^Zen Picks^^: 0 – 1 – 0 (.000)
**Outright Upsets**: 1 – 4 – 0 (.200)

Season
With the spread: 89 – 94 – 9 (.486)
Without the spread: 113 – 79 – 0 (.589)
^^Zen Picks^^: 10 – 5 – 2 (.667)
**Outright Upsets**: 17 – 35 – 0 (.327)

THE PICKS
* – Indicates Upset Pick
^ – Indicates Zen Pick

THURSDAY

Chicago (+3.0) @ Washington (-3.0)
I figured after the way last week went, Washington would make sure the game wasn’t in reach for Coach Gibbs to blunder.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^Washington
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Washington

SUNDAY

Carolina (+11.0) @ Jacksonville (-11.0)
Jacksonville’s punishing defense should force plenty of turnovers on the Panthers’ spotty offense; and while they aren’t a blowout team generally, the Jags should have one on their hands this week.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Jacksonville
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Jacksonville

Dallas (-11.0) @ Detroit (+11.0)
Dallas is just too damn obvious with Romo against this horrible Lions defense. Every time a game looks like an absolute lock to me, it never ends up that way… so I’ve gotta take the slumping Lions at home to wake up and make a game out of this.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^*Detroit
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Dallas

Miami (+7.0) @ Buffalo (-7.0)
I’d be stunned at this point if Miami did end up winning a game this year.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Buffalo
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Buffalo

New York Giants (+3.0) @ Philadelphia (-3.0)
Sure it is in Philly this time, but I don’t see the end result being much different from the last time these two teams played.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New York Giants
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New York Giants

Oakland (+10.5) @ Green Bay (-10.5)
Don’t look now, but the Oakland Raiders are actually on a WINNING streak! I can’t believe people argued with me when I said the Raiders would be a better team than the Dolphins this year. In any case, I love this spot for the Raiders; Haven’t exactly figured out how they are going to put points ON the board, but I do expect them to keep points off of it. Green Bay could easily look past this game and get trapped; at least trapped into a close one. The Raiders, with confidence and maybe a bit of Jamarcus this week, are getting plenty of points to consider this week.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Oakland
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Green Bay

San Diego (-1.0) @ Tennessee (+1.0)
I still can’t figure out San Diego and the season is 3/4’s over. That said, getting them at only -1.0 is just too tempting, even against the equally-impossible-to-figure-out Titans.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Diego
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: San Diego

St. Louis (+9.5) @ Cincinnati (-9.5)
I just don’t think Cinci is 10 points better than anyone at this point, save maybe Miami. St. Louis has won 3 of their last 4, and while I won’t pick them to win outright (certainly wouldn’t be surprised), I will take the points.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *St. Louis
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Cincinnati

Tampa Bay (-3.0) @ Houston (+3.0)
As much as I love the new-look Texans, Tampa Bay’s D is just too hot to pick against right now.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay

Arizona (+7.0) @ Seattle (-7.0)
One thing you can almost always count on between these two teams is a close game. As such, I think the +7 is too much; but Seattle definitely prevails at home here.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Arizona
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Seattle

Minnesota (-8.5) @ San Francisco (+8.5)
Generally speaking, red-hot melts ice cold, doesn’t it?
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Minnesota
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Minnesota

Cleveland (-3.5) @ New York Jets (+3.5)
As awful of a road team as Cleveland is, are they really going to drop to the Jets here? Actually, I think they just might.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *New York Jets
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *New York Jets

Kansas City (+7.0) @ Denver (-7.0)
If losing to Oakland doesn’t wake you up, Denver might as well just hang up the cleats now.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Denver
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Denver

Pittsburgh (+11.0) @ New England (-11.0)
This week will let us know if the last two off-weeks by New England were a fluke or a sign of weakness. Best of luck to you if you are on the weakness side.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New England
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England

Indianapolis (-9.0) @ Baltimore (+9.0)
Tough to pick against Baltimore after the way the just played the Patriots, but will they have anything at all left? My money is on no.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Indianapolis
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis

MONDAY

New Orleans (-3.5) @ Atlanta (+3.5)
Wow, this game sure looked good at the beginning of the season, didn’t it? Aww, poor worldwide leader in sports; another game no one wants to watch. I’ll take the team at home playing for its pride.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Atlanta
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Atlanta

Have a great Sunday everyone!
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