Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

What happened to college football?

This is a PRO football newsletter. This is the part of it where I sound off about whatever. I guess this is where I am supposed to talk about how great Dallas’s come from behind win was and how excited I am about the battle of the undefeateds tomorrow, right?

And yet I can’t. College football is so messed up this year that I can’t even muster up any energy for Sundays anymore.

1. Ohio State
2. South Florida
3. Boston College

How am I supposed to sleep at night?

How am I supposed to handicap games?

How can I write an intro that doesn’t suck?

South Florida? Boston College?

I need a drink.

And no, Mom. Unfortunately I don’t mean iced tea.

I added a new section below the picks, hope you all find it interesting!

THE RECORD

Last Week
With the spread: 7 – 7 – 0 (.500)
Without the spread: 9 – 5 – 0 (.642)
^^Zen Picks^^: 2 – 0 – 0 (1.000)
**Outright Upsets**: 0 – 3 – 0 (.000)

Season
With the spread: 34 – 36 – 6 (.486)
Without the spread: 48 – 28 – 0 (.632)
^^Zen Picks^^: 7 – 1 – 1 (.875)
**Outright Upsets**: 9 – 10 – 0 (.474)

LAST WEEK’S RECAP OF DAVE’S BRILLIANCE AND FOOLISHNESS
(Usually Foolishness)

Arizona 2 – 2 (-4.0) @ St. Louis 4 – 0 (+4.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^*St. Louis (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *St. Louis (LOSS)

Atlanta 1 – 3 (+8.0) @ Tennessee 2 – 1 (-8.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tennessee (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Tennessee (WIN)

Carolina 2 – 2 (+3.0) @ New Orleans 0 – 3 (-3.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New Orleans (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New Orleans (LOSS)

Cleveland 2 – 2 (+16.5) @ New England 4 – 0 (-16.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New England (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England (WIN)

Detroit 3 – 1 (+3.5) @ Washington 2 – 1 (-3.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Detroit (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Detroit (LOSS)

Jacksonville 2 – 1 (-2.5) @ Kansas City 2 – 2 (+2.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^Jacksonville (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Jacksonville (WIN)

Miami 0 – 4 (+5.5) @ Houston 2 – 2 (-5.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Miami (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Miami (LOSS)

New York Jets 1 – 3 (+3.5) @ New York Giants 2 – 2 (-3.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New York Giants (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New York Giants (WIN)

Seattle 3 – 1 (+6.0) @ Pittsburgh 3 – 1 (-6.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Pittsburgh (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Pittsburgh (WIN)

Tampa Bay 3 – 1 (+10.0) @ Indianapolis 4 – 0 (-10.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Tampa Bay (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis (WIN)

Baltimore 2 – 2 (-3.5) @ San Francisco 2 – 2 (+3.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Baltimore (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Baltimore (WIN)

San Diego 1 – 3 @ Denver 2 – 2 (Pick’em)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Diego (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: San Diego (WIN)

Chicago 1 – 3 (+3.5) @ Green Bay 4 – 0 (-3.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Green Bay (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Green Bay (LOSS)

Dallas 4 – 0 (-10.5) @ Buffalo 1 – 3 (+10.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Dallas (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Dallas (LOSS)

DAMN, I’M GOOD

Nothing too revolutionary this week.

THE PICKS
* – Indicates Upset Pick
$ – Indicates Money Pick
^ – Indicates Zen Pick

6 straight upsets… feeling lucky

SUNDAY

Cincinnati 1 – 3 (-3.0) @ Kansas City 2 – 3 (+3.0)
Kansas City simply doesn’t have the passing game to torch Cinci’s biggest weakness, and this is a must-win for the Bengals. 3 points shouldn’t be too much of a problem.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Cincinnati
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Cincinnati

Houston 3 – 2 (+6.5) @ Jacksonville 3 – 1 (-6.5)
Jacksonville has looked good this year… but it has been a small sample size. Houston has played teams tough this year and deserves a bit of respect. They definitely keep it close; they may win outright.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Houston
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Houston

Miami 0 – 5 (+4.5) @ Cleveland 2 – 3 (-4.5)
Miami’s remaining out-of-division games this season? NYG, @PHI, @PIT, BAL, CIN. Cleveland may be showing signs of life this year, but I think Miami realizes this is one of the last chances they have to win a non-divisional game, and will have to be pumped up accordingly. Jamal Lewis being out helps their cause, too.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Miami
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Miami

Minnesota 1 – 3 (+5.0) @ Chicago 2 – 3 (-5.0)
Blah… I guess this is the part where I believe there has been a resurgence in Chicago huh? I don’t know about all that, but Minnesota IS pretty bad.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Chicago
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Chicago

Philadelphia 1 – 3 (-3.5) @ New York Jets 1 – 4 (+3.5)
Gut feeling here the Jets don’t give away the game like they have been all season and win one here for the home crowd.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *New York Jets
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *New York Jets

St. Louis 0 – 5 (+9.0) @ Baltimore 3 – 2 (-9.0)
St. Louis looked great last week. Baltimore was terrible. Both teams have been pretty bad all year. 9 points? I don’t see how you don’t play the Rams w/ the Raven’s O being what it is. Too easy = go the other way.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^Baltimore
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Baltimore

Tennessee 3 – 1 (+3.0) @ Tampa Bay 3 – 2 (-3.0)
Ah, back in the underdog position, just the way the Titans like it. Until a team other than the AFC’s elite beats the Titans (barely, I might add) I won’t be picking against them + points.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Tennessee
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Tennessee

Washington 3 – 1 (+3.0) @ Green Bay 4 – 1 (-3.0)
Washington’s defense is exactly the type to cause Brett Favre to have “one of those games”, and I think this year’s Cinderella story takes another hit this weekend.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Washington
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Washington

Carolina 3 – 2 (+5.5) @ Arizona 3 – 2 (-5.5)
Vinny Testaverde in 1995, sure. 2007? With all of Carolina’s injury problems and the Cardinal’s good fortune this year, you’ve gotta like them at only -5.5.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Arizona
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Arizona

New England 5 – 0 (-6.0) @ Dallas 5 – 0 (+6.0)
This should be an awesome game and I hope it lives up to the hype. Neither team has been tested quite like this so far this season. New England is the better team, but I think the home crowd carries Romo and Romo carries the team to a shocking victory.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Dallas
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Dallas

Oakland 2 – 2 (+10.0) @ San Diego 2 – 3 (-10.0)
If the Chargers take another week off emotionally, the Raiders will have a legitimate shot at winning. I think SD’s focus is back though and they will win this game; but the Raiders at least keep this one close.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Oakland
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: San Diego

New Orleans 0 – 4 (+6.0) @ Seattle 3 – 2 (-6.0)
Ok, ok, ok. I get it. This New Orleans team sucks, terribly. Seattle at home is always tough, and coming off of a shutout loss, they should be pretty fired up.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Seattle
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Seattle

MONDAY

New York Giants 3 – 2 (-3.5) @ Atlanta 1 – 4 (+3.5)
The Giants’ slow start is looking like a thing of the past, and should stay that way with Atlanta on tap.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New York Giants
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New York Giants

AVERAGE JOE THEORY

Going on my theory that Vegas always wins, if you always bet the exact opposite of Average Joe, wouldn’t you end up a winner? Average Joe is the football fan that doesn’t crunch numbers or anything, just knows the teams and picks what looks good/easy to him. In other words, Vegas’s perfect target.

I want to try to channel in to Average Joe and make all the picks I think he would make. If he picks around 50/50, I don’t have an angle. But if he picks 45% winners… betting against him would definitely be a profitable affair. If he does better than I do consistently, I can just “become him”. So lets find out how “he” does this year.

Last Week: 0 – 0 – 0
Season: 0 – 0 – 0

Average Joe’s Picks: CIN -3.0, JAX -6.5, CLE -4.5, CHI -5.0, PHI -3.5, STL +9.0, TEN +3.0, GB -3.0, ARI -5.5, NE -6.0, NE/DAL OVER 52.5, SD -10.0, SEA -6.0, NYG -3.5

THE COLLEGE NICKEL

RECORD: 18 – 22 – 0 (.450)

5 picks from Saturday! View them here; http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iGtZncYRxxs

1. Kent State (+30.5) over Ohio State (LOSS)

2. LSU (-9.5) over Kentucky (LOSS)

3. South Carolina (-7.0) over UNC (LOSS)

4. TCU/Stanford UNDER 47 (LOSS)

5. Cincinnati (-10.0) over Louisville (LOSS)

(A perfect 0 for 5!)

————————————————————-
Questions? Comments? Suggestions? Ideas?
Love the Dime? Hate it? Should I cut it down to a nickel?
SEND ME FEEDBACK!

Comments are closed