2007 NFL Newsletter: Dave’s Dime Wild Card Week

By , January 4, 2008

Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

And so the playoffs begin; and we have to get through this week to get to all of our top questions;

Will the Pats run the table?

Will the Colts repeat?

Will Romo redeem himself from last year?

Will Brett Favre make one last run?

Of course, the teams that win this week are the ones that are going to help answer some of those questions.

So without further ado, I present to you the (potential) winners of the Wild Card week.

THE RECORD

Last Week
With the spread: 10 – 6 – 0 (.686)
Without the spread: 10 – 6 – 0 (.686)
^^Zen Picks^^: 1 – 0 – 0 (1.000)
**Outright Upsets**: 1 – 4 – 0 (.200)

Season (Final)
With the spread: 124 – 123 – 9 (.502)
Without the spread: 157 – 99 – 0 (.613)
^^Zen Picks^^: 14 – 7 – 2 (.667)
**Outright Upsets**: 20 – 42 – 0 (.323)

Playoffs
With the spread: 0 – 0 – 0 (.000)
Without the spread: 0 – 0 – 0 (.000)
OVER/UNDER: 0 – 0 – 0 (.000)
^^Zen Picks^^: 0 – 0 – 0 (.000)
**Outright Upsets**: 0 – 0 – 0 (.000)

THE PICKS

* – Indicates Upset Pick
^ – Indicates Zen Pick

For those of you that don’t know what the OVER/UNDER is, bookmakers decide a number that they think will be close to the two team’s scores added together. If the bookmakers think the game will have a final score of 23 – 20, they will set the OVER/UNDER total at around 43. It is the bettor’s job to predict whether the actual score will be OVER or UNDER the projected total.

SATURDAY

#6 Washington Redskins 9 – 7 (+3.0) @ #3 Seattle Seahawks 10 – 6 (-3.0)
Tough tough call. As much as I am on board with the Redskins’ run, and as many flashes of brilliance as they have shown all season, Seattle is not only a better football team, but they are at home, where they have been unstoppable for years. This place will be rocking a bit too hard, and Washington will get bounced in the 1st round here despite being a popular pick by many to do some damage this postseason.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Seattle
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Seattle
OVER/UNDER 40: OVER

#5 Jacksonville Jaguars 11 – 5 (-3.0) @ #4 Pittsburgh Steelers 10 – 6 (+3.0)
I was looking forward to cruising through the playoffs with Jacksonville, even maybe taking them against the Patriots; but to my dismay, the media has turned them into an absolute lock over the Steelers this week. I agreed, but this media tilt will affect the game. The Steelers are a very proud team, and they play extremely well at home; they are 7 – 1 (their only loss being to these Jaguars). Even without Willie Parker and with what I think is an inferior team, the playoff-tested Pittsburgh Steelers will respond in a big way to everyone circling Jacksonville as the lock of the week, and they will pull off the upset here.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^*Pittsburgh Steelers
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Pittsburgh Steelers
OVER/UNDER 40: UNDER

SUNDAY

#5 New York Giants 10 – 6 (+3.0) @ #4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9 – 7 (-3.0)
While the Giants spent every last bit of their energy trying to beat the Patriots last week, the Buccaneers essentially slept in. They are extremely well rested and are an excellent home team. In totally unflashy fashion, the Buccaneers should trump the Giants this week.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
OVER/UNDER 39.5: UNDER

#6 Tennessee Titans 10 – 6 (+10.0) @ #3 San Diego Chargers 11 – 5 (-10.0)
10 points seems like an awful lot, and I was considering Tennessee with the points here until I took a good look at their 10 wins; @Jax 11 – 5, @NO 7 – 9, Atl 4 – 12, @Hou 8 – 8, Oak 4 – 12, Car 7 – 9, Hou 8- 8, @KC 4 – 12, NYJ 4 – 12, @Ind 13 – 3. 6 of their 10 wins came against under .500 teams, including four 4 – 12 teams. Houston played one game without star WR Andre Johnson and the other without QB Matt Schaub. The win against Jacksonville is impressive but it was first week of the season… and the win against the Colts was simply the Colts resting all of their players. Tennessee is an average team that made the most of their weak schedule; and an average team heading into playoff-hungry San Diego just won’t be enough.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Diego
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: San Diego
OVER/UNDER 39: OVER

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