Dave’s Dime
“Because Two Cents Just Isn’t Enough”

THE INTRO

As I anxiously await my three day getaway to Las Vegas this Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, I am most overjoyed by one simple fact;

There won’t be any football to throw my money away on!

I’m so glad the Luxor offered me two free nights in the middle of the week instead of a weekend. They save me the trouble of breaking even on college football and then losing it all on pro football.

Instead, I can play games that give me a much better chance to win then my football picks have this year; the lotto, slots, and of course, flushing money down the toilet (at least you don’t have to bet 11 to win 10 in that game, you can save the $1!)

So keep your fingers crossed for me that blackjack, Hold’em, Pai Gow (poker, not those crazy tiles), hockey, and horse racing treat me well.

If not, at least I can continue the eating trend that Thanksgiving started!

THE RECORD

Last Week
With the spread: 11 – 5 – 0 (.688)
Without the spread: 13 – 3 – 0 (.813)
^^Zen Picks^^: 0 – 0 – 0 (N/A)
**Outright Upsets**: 2 – 2 – 0 (.500)

Season
With the spread: 70 – 81 – 9 (.464)
Without the spread: 94 – 66 – 0 (.588)
^^Zen Picks^^: 9 – 3 – 2 (.750)
**Outright Upsets**: 15 – 28 – 0 (.349)

LAST WEEK’S RECAP OF DAVE’S BRILLIANCE AND FOOLISHNESS
(Usually Foolishness)

Arizona 4 – 5 (+3.0) @ Cincinnati 3 – 6 (-3.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Arizona (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Arizona (WIN)

Carolina 4 – 5 (+9.5) @ Green Bay 8 – 1 (-9.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Green Bay (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Green Bay (WIN)

Cleveland 5 – 4 (-2.5) @ Baltimore 4 – 5 (+2.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Cleveland (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Cleveland (WIN)

Kansas City 4 – 5 (+14.5) @ Indianapolis 7 – 2 (-14.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Indianapolis (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis (WIN)

Miami 0 – 9 (+9.5) @ Philadelphia 4 – 5 (-9.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Philadelphia (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Philadelphia (WIN)

New Orleans 4 – 5 (+1.5) @ Houston 4 – 5 (-1.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Houston (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Houston (WIN)

New York Giants 6 – 3 (-2.5) @ Detroit 6 – 3 (+2.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New York Giants (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New York Giants (WIN)

Oakland 2 – 7 (+5.0) @ Minnesota 3 – 6 (-5.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Oakland (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Oakland (LOSS)

San Diego 5 – 4 (-3.0) @ Jacksonville 6 – 3 (+3.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Jacksonville (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Jacksonville (WIN)

Tampa Bay 5 – 4 (-3.0) @ Atlanta 3 – 6 (+3.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay (WIN)

Pittsburgh 7 – 2 (-9.5) @ New York Jets 1 – 8 (+9.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *New York Jets (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Pittsburgh (LOSS)

Chicago 4 – 5 (+5.5) @ Seattle 5 – 4 (-5.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Chicago (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Seattle (WIN)

St. Louis 1 – 8 (-3.0) @ San Francisco 2 – 7 (+3.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: St. Louis (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: St. Louis (WIN)

Washington 5 – 4 (+11.0) @ Dallas 8 – 1 (-11.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Dallas (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Dallas (WIN)

New England 9 – 0 (-16.0) @ Buffalo 5 – 4 (+16.0)
Are you picking against the Pats?
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New England (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England (WIN)

Tennessee 6 – 3 (+2.0) @ Denver 4 – 5 (-2.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Tennessee (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Tennessee (LOSS)

THE PICKS
* – Indicates Upset Pick
^ – Indicates Zen Pick

THURSDAY

Sucks that I actually had all three favorites circled, but went with the Jets because I figured there was no way that all 3 faves would actually cover the way this year has gone. I was semi-joking taking them straight up, but +14.5 I thought would be the day’s one cover. Of course I make the change and pick up a loss!

Green Bay 9 – 1 (-3.0) @ Detroit 6 – 4 (+3.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Green Bay (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Green Bay (WIN)

New York Jets 2 – 8 (+14.5) @ Dallas 9 – 1 (-14.5)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^*New York Jets (LOSS)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *New York Jets (LOSS)

Indianapolis 8 – 2 (-12.0) @ Atlanta 3 – 7 (+12.0)
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Indianapolis (WIN)
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis (WIN)

SUNDAY

Buffalo 5 – 5 (+8.0) @ Jacksonville 7 – 3 (-8.0)
An already anemic Buffalo offense loses its sparkplug in Marshawn Lynch… really don’t see them putting up much of a fight in Jacksonville.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Jacksonville
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Jacksonville

Houston 5 – 5 (+3.5) @ Cleveland 6 – 4 (-3.5)
I know Cleveland is everyone’s feel good story, and they are definitely a solid team; but the reunited Matt Schaub / Andre Johnson connection is going to be too much for this secondary to handle.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Houston
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Houston

Minnesota 4 – 6 (+7.0) @ New York Giants 7 – 3 (-7.0)
Adrian Peterson questionable or not, there is no way the Vikings are slowing down the Giants’ passing game in this one.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New York Giants
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New York Giants

New Orleans 4 – 6 (-2.5) @ Carolina 4 – 6 (+2.5)
Tough one, but I’ve gotta go with New Orleans; Carolina just doesn’t have the QB at the moment to take advantage of New Orleans’ glaring weakness.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New Orleans
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New Orleans

Oakland 2 – 8 (+5.0) @ Kansas City 4 – 6 (-5.0)
Trust me, I know how bad this Raiders team is. It really pains me to pick them every single week; but the matchups always look so damn good. Terrible Chicago at home? Houston minus Andre Johnson? Vikings minus Adrian Peterson? Now Chiefs minus Johnson AND Holmes? I just can’t get away from this damn team. The game I pick against them is in TENNESSEE, where they cover. Man this team kills me.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Oakland
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Oakland

Seattle 6 – 4 (-3.0) @ St. Louis 2 – 8 (+3.0)
Another tough matchup with the Rams healthy and winning all of a sudden. All numbers point to a Seahawks victory here though; and when have the numbers ever let me down?
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Seattle
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Seattle

Tennessee 6 – 4 (-1.5) @ Cincinnati 3 – 7 (+1.5)
No matter how much talent Cincinnati has, I can not and will not consider picking them until they stop somebody… anybody…
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tennessee
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Tennessee

Washington 5 – 5 (+3.0) @ Tampa Bay 6 – 4 (-3.0)
I don’t know how he does it, but Jon “Chucky” Gruden has turned another injury laden mess into another winning football team. That trend should continue this week against a Redskins team that never seemed to recover from their Patriots loss.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Tampa Bay

San Francisco 2 – 8 (+10.5) @ Arizona 5 – 5 (-10.5)
This looks like an awful lot of points, but are you surprised? San Francisco has only 113 points for this season; that’s over 9 touchdowns worse than the Raiders. Ouch. And by the way, Arizona is fairly decent.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Arizona
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Arizona

Baltimore 4 – 6 (+9.0) @ San Diego 5 – 5 (-9.0)
Another downright awful offense in Baltimore makes this spread very fair, despite San Diego’s terrible play; if Turner would just put the ball in LT’s hands and keep it out of Rivers’, the Chargers might find themselves winning football games again.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Diego
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: San Diego

Denver 5 – 5 (+2.0) @ Chicago 4 – 6 (-2.0)
Denver is finally starting to click and has looked pretty decent of late. Chicago is still pretty darn bad; no reason they should be the favorite here.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Denver
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Denver

Philadelphia 5 – 5 (+24.0) @ New England 10 – 0 (-24.0)
So you see 24, the biggest spread in over 20 years, and you think “c’mon, this is the NFL, lets be reasonable here”… congrats, you fell into the trap. This has nothing to do with Donovan McNabb; even with him, the Patriots were going to win this game by 5 TDs. This isn’t pro football at all; its unlike anything we’ve ever seen.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New England
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England

MONDAY

Miami 0 – 10 (+16.0) @ Pittsburgh 7 – 3 (-16.0)
16 points is just too many. I don’t doubt that Pittsburgh will take care of business here; but an 0 – 10 team playing for its pride is always a very dangerous thing to play against, especially when trying to avoid embarrassment on Monday Night.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^*Miami
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Pittsburgh

THE COLLEGE NICKEL

RECORD: 42 – 44 – 0 (.488)

7 picks from Saturday, view them here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P8YY5_NsJ38

1. USC/ASU UNDER 49 (Loss)

2. Texas -6.0 (Loss)

3. Hawaii -3.0 (Win)

4. Utah +4.5 (Loss)

5. Tulsa -12.5 (Loss)

6. Florida Atlantic -11.5 (Win)

7. Cincinnati -20.5 (Win)

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